Tuesday, June 13, 2023

Is Bobby only candidate to stop Trump’s re-election?

 

Is Bobby only candidate to stop Trump’s re-election?

Trump has garnered 2 indictments, one federal, one state, with 2 more possible this year.
Yet, Trump will likely breeze to the GOP nomination 13 months from now. He’s way ahead, and with a dozen or more jumping in, will win overwhelmingly.
Once nominated, Trump has a good chance of being re-elected, replicating Grover Cleveland’s non-consecutive re-election in 1892.
President Biden could press 300 lbs and walk on water and still lose to Trump. Twenty-five of the 30 states Trump won ’16 stuck with him in ’20, and likely will in ’24 with Biden his opponent. Those five states Biden peeled off in ’20 to dump Trump, were narrowly won. It is very possible Trump could claw them back to regain the White House.
Trial and conviction will not derail him. Only imprisonment, unlikely due to judicial and legalistic delays.
While Biden could still barely win, only one candidate can clearly win. Bobby Kennedy.
Bobby has about 20% of the Democratic primary vote. Adding in Marianne Williamson’s 10% means nearly a third of Democratic voters are looking for new Democratic leadership. This is particularly so with the issue of perpetual war sucking America’s treasure to fuel futile military ventures senselessly killing thousands. Bobby and Marianne have both taped into growing revulsion over American’s rampant militarism preventing domestic American renewal.
If Biden stays healthy, he’s still the likely Democratic nominee. But it’s not a lock. If Bobby’s stock keeps rising, resulting in a dramatic upset or near upset in an early primary, Biden could find himself in the same bind Lyndon Johnson suffered to Gene McCarthy in ’68. But for an assassin’s bullet, Bobby Sr. would likely have been elected and ended the Vietnam War early on.
The wild card of course is Biden’s health. Just one serious health issue could knock the octogenarian president from the race. In that case, with no establishment Democrat, other than VP Kamala Harris, even daydreaming about running, Bobby has a decent shot at the nomination.
Head to head, Bobby could trounce Trump. Due to Bobby’s cross political populist appeal, even some of those 25 solid Trump states could be in play. If you pay attention to Bobby’s campaign, he’s largely ditched his most controversial views driving progressives apoplectic. Credit new wife and fellow celebrity Cheryl Hines for some of that moderation.
There’s only 2 ways to ensure keeping Trump from the White House. The first is imprisonment. Since that will not happen, the fallback, Plan B, is a Bobby v. Donald match race. And like the most famous match race in history, Bobby’s Nashua will leave Trump’s Swaps in his dust.

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